TORY ECONOMY CRASH MEANS £1,188 A MONTH WEST MIDLANDS MORTGAGE PAIN
Families across the West Midlands face eye-watering mortgage hikes of £311 as a result of the Tories’ crashing the economy, reveals new analysis by Labour.
Bank of England data shows that homeowners coming off two-year fixed terms are set to be clobbered due to the Tories’ attempts to hand unfunded tax cuts to the wealthiest. Labour leader Keir Starmer called it a “crisis made in Downing Street but paid for by working people” as he renewed his calls for Liz Truss to reverse the “kamikaze budget” that has “crashed the economy” and seen interest rates and borrowing costs skyrocket.
Despite the government’s humiliating 45p climbdown, mortgage rates are still likely to top five or even six per cent. That would leave homeowners in London and the southeast facing average rises up to £915. Even in the northeast of England, where house prices are typically lower, the monthly spike will be up to £320. The increases are likely to prove unaffordable for many.
An average buyer taking out a two-year fixed mortgage in the third quarter of 2020 faced an interest rate of about 1.6 per cent and monthly repayments of £877. Should interest rates reach five per cent, those repayments would increase to £1,188, an increase of £311. The average increase across the United Kingdom is almost £400 a month. This is a conservative estimate: immediately after the government’s humiliating 45p climbdown, rates were anticipated to reach 5.5 per cent.
The increase in repayments will offset action on energy bills for many households. The government’s refusal to back Labour’s plans for a windfall tax on oil and gas providers meant that taxpayers were already on the hook for higher additional borrowing than they would have been under a Labour government. But Truss’ kamikaze budget has added to the region’s cost of living pain.
Keir Starmer MP, leader of the Labour Party said:“These eye-watering mortgage increases will cause homeowners across the West Midlands sleepless nights – and the Tory Government is entirely to blame.
“Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng crashed the economy with their attempts to hand enormous, unfunded tax cuts to those who least need it. The humiliating U-turn they were forced into came too late – the damage had been done. Now people across the West Midlands are suffering the consequences. This was a crisis made in Downing Street but paid by working people.
“The Prime Minister must reverse her kamikaze budget, including her totally unfunded £17 billion corporation tax giveaway to the biggest companies. The burden of the Tories’ fantasy economics should not fall on working people.”
Stratford Labour’s Lee Rhodes said:
“Families across Stratford on Avon deserve so much better than this Tory-made crisis”
“There is an alternative. Last week at our party conference Labour announced a comprehensive plan to target a homeownership rate of 70% and 1.5 million new homeowners.
“We set out proposals to build more houses, raise stamp duty on foreign buyers to stop them buying whole developments off-plan, and give first-time buyers first dibs on newly built homes.
“Our message is unequivocal: Labour is the party of home ownership.”
Notes to editors:
- UK Finance expects around 1.8 million people to re-mortgage in 2023, suggesting nearly half a million people will re-mortgage each quarter.
- Friday’s increase in gilt yields was the highest ever seen after a fiscal statement in the era of floating exchange rates – the 58 events from 1993 onwards – https://uk.investing.com/rates-bonds/uk-5-year-bond-yield-historical-data
- Analysts expect interest rates on mortgages to rise to between 5 per cent and 6 per cent – https://www.ftadviser.com/mortgages/2022/09/27/hundreds-of-mortgage-products-withdrawn-as-rates-near-6/?page=2; https://www.ft.com/content/d9a62b84-4a51-40d6-9002-a1310ce3c8dc; https://www.forbes.com/uk/advisor/mortgages/mortgage-rates-10-03-22/
- UK Finance estimate 1.8 million people will have to re-mortgage in 2023. https://uk.news.yahoo.com/sinking-pound-sterling-mortgage-debt-interest-rates-123320628.html
- Following the government’s u-turn on the 45p income tax rates, financial markets expected the Bank rate set by the Bank of England to peak at around 5.75%
https://twitter.com/EdConwaySky/status/1576828729266946049
- Figures assumed a 20 year mortgage term. Interest rates in Q3 2020 for a two-year fix were 1.6 per cent according to Bank of England figures. Average mortgage advance in 2020 Q3 taken from ONS. Analysis assumes borrower now pays a 5% interest rate once their two year fix ends in Q3 2022.. Full breakdown by region below:
Bank of England data: https://bit.ly/3efcfZO